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The most recent matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets was the game that launched a thousand memes.
Denver star Nikola Jokic didn’t take kindly to a cheap shot from OKC’s Lu Dort, sparking a scuffle. In the ensuing melee, Jokic shot Dort a crazed look usually reserved for cartoon villains and women who ask to speak to the manager. The internet took it from there.
These Western Conference foes clash again tonight, with our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions expecting The Joker to exact some form of revenge. My NBA picks like Jokic to beat up a thinning Oklahoma City frontcourt on the boards.
Nuggets vs Thunder prediction
Nuggets vs Thunder best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds (-110)
Nikola Jokic grabbed 17 rebounds in that overtime loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on February 27. He battled OKC’s twin towers of Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein in that meeting, but the Thunder could be missing that size tonight.
Hartenstein is sidelined with a calf injury, and Holmgren is overcoming illness, leaving him questionable. Along with backup center Branden Carlson’s absence, 6-foot-9 Jaylin Williams is the lone big man left to fight Jokic on the glass.
Jokic has averaged 20.6 rebounding chances per game since the All-Star break (fifth most), and projections range from 11.9 to 13.3 boards.
Nuggets vs Thunder same-game parlay
The Denver Nuggets have had some trouble away from home recently. They’re 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS as a visitor since the start of February. OKC is 26-6 as a host so far this season.
Game models call for less than 230 combined points in a heated Western war that will have a postseason-like intensity to it, especially after the fireworks of their last matchup.
Jokic’s rebounding chances are sitting north of 20 boards per game, and OKC is a bad rebounding team even at full strength. The Thunder are 25th in rebound rate and allow a lot of offensive rebounds.
Nuggets vs Thunder SGP
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Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds
Our “from downtown” SGP: Why So Serious?
Lu Dort and Jokic decide to leave the fighting on the scoreboard, with OKC’s forward projected to reach double digits and Joker’s forecasts flirting with 27 points.
Nuggets vs Thunder SGP
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Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 points
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Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds
Nuggets vs Thunder odds
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Spread: Nuggets +7 | Thunder -7
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Moneyline: Nuggets +240 | Thunder -300
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Over/Under: Over 231.5 | Under 231.5
Nuggets vs Thunder betting trend to know
The Nuggets are 6-11 SU but 10-7 ATS against OKC over the last three years. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Thunder.
How to watch Nuggets vs Thunder
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Location |
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
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Date |
Monday, March 9, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
7:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Peacock |
Nuggets vs Thunder latest injuries
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