The 2026 NBA Draft class has been hyped for years. The big pay off is finally coming on May 10 with the drawing of the draft lottery, and now the odds for the ping-pong balls have been finalized.

The Washington Wizards, Utah Jazz, and Indiana Pacers earned the top odds with a 14 percent chance at the No. 1 overall pick. The Utah Jazz and Sacramento Kings each have an 11.5 percent chance at No. 1, while the Memphis Grizzlies have the next-best odds at nine percent. The Atlanta Hawks have a 6.8 percent chance at winning the top-pick thanks to their brilliant trade with the New Orleans Pelicans, and then Atlanta also has another three percent chance at the top pick thanks to swap rights with the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Dallas Mavericks have a 6.7 percent chance at No. 1, the Chicago Bulls have a 4.5 percent chance at winning the lottery, and the Golden State Warriors have a two percent chance at the first pick. The Thunder (1.5 percent thanks to a swap with the Clippers), Heat (1 percent), and Hornets (0.5 percent) round out the lottery.

This draft class has already lost some talent to NIL money. UConn’s Braylon Mullins, Duke’s Patrick Ngongba, Florida’s Thomas Haugh, Arizona’s Motiejus Krivas, and Baylor’s Tounde Yessoufou were all projected first-round picks in our previous mock draft before deciding to return to school. Only Yessoufou left himself the option to still enter this draft.

The best thing about this draft class if you don’t need the No. 1 pick to find a future franchise player. Just landing in the top-4 should get the job done. Here’s our latest 2026 NBA mock draft using the lottery standings as the order.

Pick

Team

Player

Position

School

Age

1

Washington Wizards

AJ Dybantsa

Wing

BYU

Freshman

2

Indiana Pacers

Darryn Peterson

Guard

Kansas

Freshman

3

Brooklyn Nets

Cameron Boozer

Forward

Duke

Freshman

4

Utah Jazz

Caleb Wilson

Forward

North Carolina

Freshman

5

Sacramento Kings

Darius Acuff

Guard

Arkansas

Freshman

6

Memphis Grizzlies

Keaton Wagler

Guard

Illinois

Freshman

7

Atlanta Hawks (via Pelicans)

Kingston Flemings

Guard

Houston

Freshman

8

Dallas Mavericks

Mikel Brown Jr.

Guard

Louisville

Freshman

9

Chicago Bulls

Aday Mara

Center

Michigan

Junior

10

Milwaukee Bucks

Brayden Burries

Guard

Arizona

Freshman

11

Golden State Warriors

Yaxel Lendeborg

Forward

Michigan

Senior

12

Oklahoma City Thunder (via Clippers)

Nate Ament

Wing

Tennessee

Freshman

13

Miami Heat

Karim Lopez

Forward

NZ Breakers

Born 2007

14

Charlotte Hornets

Jayden Quaintance

Center/Forward

Kentucky

Sophomore

15

Chicago Bulls

Morez Johnson

Center/Forward

Michigan

Sophomore

16

Memphis Grizzlies

Dailyn Swain

Wing

Texas

Junior

17

Oklahoma City Thunder (via 76ers

Hannes Steinbach

Forward/Center

Washington

Freshman

18

Charlotte Hornets (via Magic)

Cameron Carr

Wing

Baylor

Junior

19

Toronto Raptors

Labaron Philon

Guard

Alabama

Sophomore

20

San Antonio Spurs (via Hawks)

Chris Cenac

Center

Houston

Freshman

21

Detroit Pistons (via Wolves)

Bennett Stirtz

Guard

Iowa

Senior

22

Philadelphia 76ers (via Rockets)

Allen Graves

Forward

Santa Clara

Freshman

23

Atlanta Hawks (via Cavs)

Joshua Jefferson

Forward

Iowa State

Senior

24

New York Knicks

Isaiah Evans

Guard

Duke

Sophomore

25

Los Angeles Lakers

Henri Veesaar

Center

North Carolina

Junior

26

Denver Nuggets

Koa Peat

Forward

Arizona

Freshman

27

Boston Celtics

Tyler Tanner

Guard

Vanderbilt

Sophomore

28

Minnesota Timberwolves (via Pistons)

Meleek Thomas

Guard

Arkansas

Freshman

29

Cleveland Cavaliers (via Spurs)

Christian Anderson

Guard

Texas Tech

Sophomore

30

Dallas Mavericks (via Thunder)

Isaiah Evans

Guard

Duke

Sophomore

Let’s dive into one of the biggest themes to watch on lottery night.

NBA Draft 2026 lottery odds to land a top-4 pick

It feels like every team in the lottery would be thrilled just to land in the top-4 — that’s just how strong this draft class is. Here are the odds each lottery team has to land in the top-4, via Tankathon:

Caleb Wilson might be rising into the top-3 — or higher

Caleb Wilson didn’t play in the 2026 NCAA tournament for North Carolina after suffering a broken bone in his left hand in February and then a broken thumb in his right hand in March. Those injuries shouldn’t and reportedly haven’t dulled NBA interest. In the last few weeks, there have been reports that some teams value Wilson more than Duke forward Cameron Boozer, and that he could even be the second player taken on draft night.

Wilson has the single best highlight reel in the class for my money. Sit back and enjoy:

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