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In tonight’s Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks matchup, all eyes shift to Brandin Podziemski with Stephen Curry still sidelined.
The increased workload has clearly taken a toll, but this is the exact type of spot to buy back in. Dallas doesn’t offer the same defensive resistance Golden State has been dealing with, giving Podziemski a much softer runway offensively.
Our Warriors vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks expect a response here — and with volume still on his side, the value points toward Podziemski clearing his scoring number on March 23.
Warriors vs Mavericks prediction
Warriors vs Mavericks best bet: Brandin Podziemski Over 14.5 points (-120)
Brandin Podziemski is mired in a shooting slump, firing at 28.6% the past four games. He’s topped 10 points only once in that span after averaging just shy of 20 points in the first seven games of the month.
A lineup of stingy opponents has worn down the Golden State Warriors guard, with five of the past six contests coming against Top-11 defenses. The Dallas Mavericks, however, are a welcome break. The Mavs are 25th in defensive rating since the All-Star break.
Podziemski is getting the minutes and touches to top his scoring total, and most projections are flirting with 16 points.
Warriors vs Mavericks same-game parlay
Game models have the Warriors winning and covering this short spread.
Podziemski isn’t just playing to secure his spot on this roster going forward, but with one year left on his rookie deal, now is the optimal time to re-sign for bigger money. Before this four-game slump, he scored 16 or more points in 10 of 14 games.
Cooper Flagg is putting the finishing touches on a stellar rookie season. However, he’s stuck in his own shooting skid. The No. 1-overall pick is hitting 42% from the field in his last three games, respectively scoring 21, 17, and 18 points in those outings. Projections have him as low as 18.7 points.
Warriors vs Mavericks SGP
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Brandin Podziemski Over 14.5 points
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Cooper Flagg Under 21.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: Giving the nod to Pods
Podziemski hasn’t lost the support of head coach Steve Kerr, who is taking a long look at him at both the shooting guard and point guard positions. The Mavericks don’t push back much, and his assist projections are around five dimes.
Warriors vs Mavericks SGP
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Brandin Podziemski Over 14.5 points
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Brandin Podziemski Over 4.5 assists
Warriors vs Mavericks odds
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Spread: Warriors -2 (-110) | Mavericks +2 (-110)
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Moneyline: Warriors -130 | Mavericks +110
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Over/Under: Over 230.5 (-110) | Under 230.5 (-110)
Warriors vs Mavericks betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have gone Over the total in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units/19% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Warriors vs Mavericks
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Location |
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
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Date |
Monday, March 23, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
9:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Peacock, NBCSN |
Warriors vs Mavericks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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