Tyler Glasnow was at his best on Sunday, striking out 11 Angels in five strong innings. His curveball was especially electric, finishing off all 11 of those strikeouts. He induced 13 swinging strikes among the 36 curves he threw, the former matching the most whiffs on that pitch he’s ever gotten in a game, way back on August 25, 2020.
Most importantly, it’s been a relatively normal spring training for Glasnow, who had a standard gradual build up during Cactus League play, pitching into the fifth inning twice before completing five innings on Sunday in Anaheim.
He’s in line to start next Saturday at Dodger Stadium, the finale of a season-opening three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks. But how many starts will he make this season?
Glasnow pitched 90 1/3 innings and made 18 starts last regular season, but most importantly he was healthy down the stretch and for all of the postseason, after missing the playoffs in his first year with the Dodgers in 2024. Glasnow over the last three seasons averaged 114 2/3 innings and just over 20 starts, and his 21, 22, and 18 starts over the previous three years are his top-three such seasons of his career.
If there’s a caveat heading into this season, outside of the usual injury concern, it’s that Glasnow’s 11.7-percent walk rate last season was his worst in eight years, and much higher than the 7.1-percent walk rate over 2023-24.
Here are his projections entering his age-32 season.
Tyler Glasnow 2026 projections
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Marcel: 118 IP, 3.66 ERA, 28-percent K rate
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Steamer: 24 starts, 139 IP, 3.61 ERA, 28.1 K%
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ZiPS: 20 starts, 105 1/3 IP, 3.76 ERA, 28.6 K%
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THE BAT: 22 starts, 129 IP, 3.97 ERA, 27.2 K%
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OOPSY: 24 starts, 135 IP, 3.39 ERA, 28.2 K%
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PECOTA: 26 starts, 139 2/3 IP, 3.69 ERA, 26.6 K%
Today’s question is how many starts and innings do you expect from Tyler Glasnow in the 2025 regular season?
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