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The Boston Celtics fell to the Spurs on Tuesday, and the road ahead only gets tougher as the C’s head to Paycom Center to face the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Key frontcourt injuries have opened up golden opportunities to crash the glass, and my Celtics vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks expect Neemias Queta to gobble up the boards.
Celtics vs Thunder prediction
Celtics vs Thunder best bet: Neemias Queta Over 8.5 rebounds (-110)
Neemias Queta is grabbing a career-high 8.3 rebounds per game, and he’s corralled at least nine in 23 appearances and exactly eight in 10 more. He’s averaged just 7.5 rebounds against Eastern Conference opponents but a whopping 9.6 against the West.
Over the last four games with Isaiah Hartenstein out or limited, the Oklahoma City Thunder have surrendered the second-most rebounds. Hartenstein is out again, and Queta should stay hot in this advantageous matchup after grabbing at least nine boards in two of his last three outings overall and three of his last six on the road.
Celtics vs Thunder same-game parlay
Prior to his ejection in Tuesday’s loss to the Spurs, Jaylen Brown recorded 7+ rebounds in eight straight games. Averaging a career-best 7.1 rebounds this season, Brown has recorded 7+ rebounds in 35 of 58 games, including 15 of 28 on the road. The potential absence of Jayson Tatum could force Brown to take on more rebounding responsibilities.
Betting on the Boston Celtics to cover is tempting, but Tatum and Derrick White are questionable, and Payton Pritchard may not be 100%. OKC has been tremendous at home, and I’m far more confident betting the total. The Celtics are 12-22 to the Under on the road, while the Thunder are 16-17 to the Under at home.
Celtics vs Thunder SGP
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Neemias Queta Over 8.5 rebounds
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Jaylen Brown Over 6.5 rebounds
Our “from downtown” SGP: Board men get paid!
Over the first 32 games of the season, Chet Holmgren averaged just 8.2 rebounds, but he’s averaged 10.2 across his last 24. In that span, the big man has grabbed 9+ boards 17 times. Hartenstein’s absence opens up additional rebounding opportunities for Holmgren, and he should have no problem clearing this line.
Celtics vs Thunder SGP
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Neemias Queta Over 8.5 rebounds
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Jaylen Brown Over 6.5 rebounds
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Chet Holmgren Over 8.5 rebounds
Celtics vs Thunder odds
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Spread: Celtics +6.5 | Thunder -6.5
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Moneyline: Celtics +225 | Thunder -270
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Over/Under: Over 216 | Under 216
Celtics vs Thunder betting trend to know
The Celtics have cashed the Under in 29 of their last 40 games for +16.9 units and a 38% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Thunder.
How to watch Celtics vs Thunder
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Location |
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
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Date |
Thursday, March 12, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
9:30 p.m. ET |
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TV |
Prime Video |
Celtics vs Thunder latest injuries
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